ABSTRACT | Great majority of Serbia’s domestic rivers registered a downward trend in 20th and first decade of 21st century. Like in many parts of the world, important decrease in river discharge is influence of three factors: climate change (CC), changes in human use of water (HU), and land use changes (LU). The impact of CC has been noted at all hydrologic stations, but its significance varies. Paper present these variations across Serbia and, in addition to spatial trend distribution, try to find correlations between observed temperature (T), precipitation (P) and river discharge (Q) for a numerous T, P and Q stations. Quite strong average relationships between an increase in air temperature and changes in river discharges has been found for central Serbia, and is presented in the paper. This methodology for forecasting mean river discharge changes in near future could be of interest to other regions. The importance of measured data, selected stations and selected period for analyses of observed values of T, P and Q are discussed in the paper. |