|TITLE||INVESTIGATION OF HIGH-RESOLUTION CLIMATE PROJECTIONS OVER TURKEY AND ITS SURROUNDING REGIONS USING REGCM4.4|
|AUTHORS||Mustafa Tufan Turp (1,2), Tugba Ozturk (2,3), Murat TÃ¼rkeÅŸ (2), Mehmet Levent Kurnaz (2,4)|
- Department Of Environmental Sciences, Institute Of Environmental Sciences, Bogazici University Istanbul (Turkey)
- Center For Climate Change And Policy Studies, Bogazici University Istanbul (Turkey)
- Department Of Physics, Faculty Of Arts And Sciences, Isik University Istanbul (Turkey)
- Department Of Physics, Faculty Of Arts And Sciences, Bogazici University Istanbul (Turkey)
|ABSTRACT||In this study, projected future changes for the period of 2021â€“2050 in mean air temperature and precipitation climatology and year-to-year variability with respect to the control period of 1971â€“2000 were investigated for the domain of Turkey and its surrounding regions via regional climate model simulations. In order to investigate the projected changes in near future climate conditions, Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.4) of ICTP (the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics) was driven by two different global climate models. HadGEM2-ES global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre and MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were dynamically downscaled to 10 km for Turkey and its surrounding regions. The projections were performed based on the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 emission scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
This research has been supported by Bogazii University Research Fund Grant Number 10421.|